Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.5% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.4–7.1% | 3.2–7.5% | 2.8–8.3% |
| 22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
4.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.8–6.2% | 2.4–6.9% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.9% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| 8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| 25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
| 23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.5–5.4% |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.2% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 4.8% | 4.4–5.3% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.2–5.5% | 4.0–5.8% |
| 26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3.8% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% |
| 22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
| 20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.7% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.4% | 2.1–6.0% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
4.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% | 3.4–6.8% | 3.0–7.4% |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
| 22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.1–5.9% |
| 18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.4% |
| 12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.3% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% |
| 1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
5.3% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.4% | 3.4–8.0% |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% |
| 25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
| 21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.6% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
| 11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.6–5.6% | 2.3–6.2% |
| 10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
5.3% | 4.0–7.4% | 3.6–8.0% | 3.3–8.5% | 2.8–9.6% |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 45% | 91% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 26% | 46% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 11% | 20% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| 22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| 1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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| 21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 39% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 40% | 61% | Median |
| 4 | 17% | 21% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |