Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) UP PACMA EH Bildu Podemos CUP S–Podemos–IU S–IU S–CC–MC–MP–Ch ERC BNG BNG–NCG AR PE Cmp PSOE Cs EAJ/PNV PRC CC CEU PP Vox Junts EV SALF UPN
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 2–5%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–5%
1–3		 3–8%
2–5		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–32%
17–22		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 32–39%
22–27		 9–14%
6–9		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A		 2–5%
1–3		 0–1%
0
22 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–2		 2–6%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 3–6%
2–4		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–33%
17–23		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 32–40%
20–27		 8–14%
6–9		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 0–1%
0
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–5%
1–3		 4–7%
2–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 27–32%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 32–38%
23–27		 9–13%
6–9		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–3		 N/A
N/A
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 3–4%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
2–3		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–30%
18–20		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 33–37%
23–26		 10–13%
7–8		 1–3%
1		 N/A
N/A		 3–4%
1–2		 0%
0
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 3–6%
2–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–32%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 34–40%
24–28		 9–13%
6–9		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 3–6%
2–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–32%
18–21		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 32–38%
22–26		 10–14%
6–9		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 0–1%
0
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 3–4%
2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
2–3		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 27–31%
19–21		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 33–38%
23–26		 8–11%
5–7		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 3–4%
1–2		 0–1%
0
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 28–32%
20–23		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 33–37%
23–26		 9–12%
6–8		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 4–6%
2–4		 N/A
N/A
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 3–6%
2–3		 5–9%
3–5		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 24–30%
17–20		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 30–36%
21–25		 11–15%
7–10		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
1–2		 N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–3.0%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.2% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.4%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–4.1% 2.0–4.5% 1.8–4.8% 1.6–5.5%
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–6.4% 3.4–7.1% 3.2–7.5% 2.8–8.3%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.8–3.1%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–2.0%
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 28.8% 26.8–30.7% 26.2–31.3% 25.6–31.8% 24.5–33.0%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.7%
Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.7%
Coalición por Europa (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 35.2% 33.1–37.4% 32.4–38.1% 31.8–38.8% 30.6–40.1%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 11.0% 9.5–12.9% 9.1–13.6% 8.8–14.1% 8.2–15.1%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 0.9–3.4%
España Vaciada (NI) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.0–4.6% 1.7–5.1% 1.6–5.4% 1.3–5.8%
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8% 0.0–1.1%

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0.5% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 34% 99.5%  
2.5–3.5% 46% 66% Median
3.5–4.5% 15% 19%  
4.5–5.5% 4% 4%  
5.5–6.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 1.4% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 10% 98.6%  
9.5–10.5% 24% 88%  
10.5–11.5% 31% 64% Median
11.5–12.5% 19% 33%  
12.5–13.5% 9% 14%  
13.5–14.5% 4% 5%  
14.5–15.5% 1.1% 1.3%  
15.5–16.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 18% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 74% 82% Median
2.5–3.5% 8% 8%  
3.5–4.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.1% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 61% 99.9% Median
1.5–2.5% 37% 39%  
2.5–3.5% 2% 2%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 2% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 26% 98%  
2.5–3.5% 43% 72% Median
3.5–4.5% 18% 28%  
4.5–5.5% 9% 10%  
5.5–6.5% 1.4% 1.4%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 10% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 87% 90% Median
1.5–2.5% 3% 3%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.3% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 74% 99.7% Median
1.5–2.5% 24% 25%  
2.5–3.5% 0.9% 0.9%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0.1% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0.5% 99.9%  
24.5–25.5% 2% 99.5%  
25.5–26.5% 5% 98%  
26.5–27.5% 13% 92%  
27.5–28.5% 23% 79%  
28.5–29.5% 26% 56% Median
29.5–30.5% 18% 30%  
30.5–31.5% 8% 12%  
31.5–32.5% 3% 4%  
32.5–33.5% 0.7% 1.0%  
33.5–34.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0.1%  
35.5–36.5% 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0.1% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 15% 99.9%  
2.5–3.5% 58% 85% Median
3.5–4.5% 24% 27%  
4.5–5.5% 3% 3%  
5.5–6.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 92% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 8% 8%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 38% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 61% 62% Median
1.5–2.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 34% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 62% 66% Median
2.5–3.5% 4% 4%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0.1% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0.4% 99.9%  
30.5–31.5% 1.5% 99.5%  
31.5–32.5% 4% 98%  
32.5–33.5% 9% 94%  
33.5–34.5% 19% 85%  
34.5–35.5% 25% 66% Median
35.5–36.5% 21% 41%  
36.5–37.5% 12% 20%  
37.5–38.5% 5% 9%  
38.5–39.5% 2% 3%  
39.5–40.5% 0.7% 1.0%  
40.5–41.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
41.5–42.5% 0% 0%  
42.5–43.5% 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 9% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 45% 91% Median
4.5–5.5% 26% 46%  
5.5–6.5% 11% 20%  
6.5–7.5% 6% 9%  
7.5–8.5% 2% 2%  
8.5–9.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 1–5
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 20 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–23
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Coalición por Europa (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 24 23–26 22–27 22–27 21–28
Vox (PfE) 0 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
España Vaciada (NI) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 0–4
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 52% 53% Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 29% 100%  
2 65% 71% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 36% 43%  
3 6% 7%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 39% 99.5%  
3 40% 61% Median
4 17% 21%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 3% 99.7%  
18 12% 97%  
19 22% 85%  
20 33% 63% Median
21 20% 30%  
22 8% 9%  
23 1.3% 1.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalición por Europa (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición por Europa (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.5% 100%  
21 1.4% 99.5%  
22 8% 98%  
23 19% 90%  
24 28% 72% Median
25 28% 44%  
26 10% 16%  
27 4% 6%  
28 1.2% 1.4%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 16% 99.2%  
7 39% 84% Median
8 33% 45%  
9 10% 12%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 85% 91% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

España Vaciada (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the España Vaciada (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 42% 99.1%  
2 44% 57% Median
3 11% 13%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 24 0% 23–26 22–27 22–27 21–28
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 20 0% 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–23
Vox (PfE) 0 7 0% 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–5 2–5 2–5 2–6
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 4 0% 2–4 2–5 2–5 2–6
España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 2 0% 1–3 1–3 1–4 0–4
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.5% 100%  
21 1.4% 99.5%  
22 8% 98%  
23 19% 90%  
24 28% 72% Median
25 28% 44%  
26 10% 16%  
27 4% 6%  
28 1.2% 1.4%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 3% 99.7%  
18 12% 97%  
19 22% 85%  
20 33% 63% Median
21 20% 30%  
22 8% 9%  
23 1.3% 1.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 16% 99.2%  
7 39% 84% Median
8 33% 45%  
9 10% 12%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 16% 99.8%  
3 46% 84%  
4 27% 38% Median
5 9% 11%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 14% 100%  
3 32% 86%  
4 45% 54% Median
5 8% 10%  
6 1.4% 1.5%  
7 0% 0%  

España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 18% 99.4%  
2 34% 81%  
3 44% 47% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result
1 26% 26% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information