Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) UP PACMA EH Bildu Podemos CUP S–Podemos–IU S–IU S–CC–MC–MP–Ch ERC BNG BNG–NCG AR PE Cmp PSOE Cs EAJ/PNV PRC CC CEU PP Vox Junts EV SALF UPN
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–5%
0–3		 2–6%
1–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 3–6%
1–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 25–31%
17–22		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 30–37%
21–26		 11–17%
7–12		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1–4%
0–2		 0–1%
0
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 3–6%
2–4		 3–6%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–2		 3–5%
1–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 25–31%
17–21		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 32–38%
21–25		 11–15%
6–10		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–1		 0–1%
0
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 3–5%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 4–6%
2–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
18–20		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 30–35%
21–24		 12–17%
9–10		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 4–6%
2–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
2–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–29%
18–21		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 33–37%
22–25		 11–13%
7–9		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 0–1%
0
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 3–5%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–3		 4–7%
2–4		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 28–34%
20–24		 13–17%
9–12		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 N/A
N/A
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 3–6%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–2		 2–5%
1–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 33–39%
23–27		 12–16%
8–10		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
1		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 28–32%
20–23		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 31–35%
23–26		 12–15%
8–10		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 3–5%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 3–6%
2–3		 1–3%
1		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 24–29%
17–20		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 32–38%
22–26		 12–16%
7–10		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 0–1%
0
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 4–6%
2–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
1–2		 3–5%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 30–35%
21–25		 13–17%
9–11		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–4%
1–2		 N/A
N/A
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 2–5%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
1–4		 1–3%
1–2		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
17–21		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 31–37%
21–25		 13–17%
8–12		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–2		 0–1%
0
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 4–7%
2–4		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
1–2		 3–5%
1–3		 1–3%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 26–31%
18–20		 N/A
N/A		 1–2%
0–1		 N/A
N/A		 0–1%
0		 N/A
N/A		 32–38%
22–25		 11–14%
7–9		 1–3%
0–2		 N/A
N/A		 1–3%
0–1		 0–1%
0
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 3–5%
2–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 3–5%
1–3		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 25–31%
18–22		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 30–35%
21–25		 14–18%
9–13		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 2–3%
1–2		 N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–4.1% 1.0–4.7% 0.9–5.1% 0.8–5.7%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.5–5.9% 2.2–6.4%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.8% 1.3–4.3%
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.4% 2.6–5.8% 2.3–6.4%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 28.2% 26.3–30.2% 25.8–30.7% 25.4–31.2% 24.5–32.0%
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.4%
Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Coalición por Europa (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 33.8% 31.2–36.1% 30.4–36.8% 29.8–37.3% 28.7–38.4%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 13.8% 11.9–15.8% 11.5–16.3% 11.2–16.8% 10.6–17.7%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.2%
España Vaciada (NI) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.4–3.8% 1.1–4.1%
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.5% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 5% 99.5%  
11.5–12.5% 15% 95%  
12.5–13.5% 23% 80%  
13.5–14.5% 25% 56% Median
14.5–15.5% 18% 31%  
15.5–16.5% 9% 13%  
16.5–17.5% 3% 4%  
17.5–18.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 3% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 58% 97% Median
2.5–3.5% 35% 39%  
3.5–4.5% 4% 5%  
4.5–5.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 27% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 66% 73% Median
2.5–3.5% 7% 7%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 51% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 34% 49% Median
2.5–3.5% 2% 15%  
3.5–4.5% 7% 13%  
4.5–5.5% 5% 6%  
5.5–6.5% 0.8% 0.9%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 6% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 45% 94%  
2.5–3.5% 43% 49% Median
3.5–4.5% 6% 6%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 8% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 92% Median
1.5–2.5% 3% 3%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.4% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 81% 99.6% Median
1.5–2.5% 19% 19%  
2.5–3.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0.1% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0.5% 99.9%  
24.5–25.5% 3% 99.4%  
25.5–26.5% 10% 97%  
26.5–27.5% 20% 87%  
27.5–28.5% 25% 67% Median
28.5–29.5% 22% 41%  
29.5–30.5% 13% 20%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 7%  
31.5–32.5% 1.2% 1.3%  
32.5–33.5% 0.1% 0.2%  
33.5–34.5% 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 3% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 26% 97%  
3.5–4.5% 40% 71% Median
4.5–5.5% 26% 31%  
5.5–6.5% 5% 6%  
6.5–7.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 90% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 10% 10%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 42% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 58% 58% Median
1.5–2.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 24% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 70% 76% Median
2.5–3.5% 6% 6%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0.1% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0.3% 99.9%  
28.5–29.5% 1.4% 99.6%  
29.5–30.5% 4% 98%  
30.5–31.5% 8% 94%  
31.5–32.5% 14% 86%  
32.5–33.5% 18% 72%  
33.5–34.5% 20% 54% Median
34.5–35.5% 17% 34%  
35.5–36.5% 11% 17%  
36.5–37.5% 5% 6%  
37.5–38.5% 1.4% 2%  
38.5–39.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
39.5–40.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
40.5–41.5% 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 2% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 34% 98%  
3.5–4.5% 44% 64% Median
4.5–5.5% 16% 20%  
5.5–6.5% 4% 4%  
6.5–7.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 1–4 1–4
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 19 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–23
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Coalición por Europa (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 22–25 21–25 21–26 20–27
Vox (PfE) 0 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–12
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
España Vaciada (NI) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) page.

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Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 53% 67% Median
2 4% 14%  
3 10% 11%  
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 50% 95% Median
3 43% 45%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) page.

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Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 73% 99.0% Median
2 25% 26%  
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 8% 100%  
2 55% 92% Median
3 34% 36%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 87% 89% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) page.

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Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) page.

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Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) page.

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Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) page.

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Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 4% 99.7%  
18 21% 95%  
19 34% 74% Median
20 22% 40%  
21 12% 18%  
22 5% 6%  
23 0.8% 0.9%  
24 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) page.

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Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) page.

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Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalición por Europa (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición por Europa (RE) page.

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For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 1.3% 99.8%  
21 5% 98.5%  
22 18% 94%  
23 32% 75% Median
24 27% 43%  
25 13% 17%  
26 1.2% 3%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 8% 99.7%  
8 24% 92%  
9 23% 68% Median
10 32% 45%  
11 10% 13%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 83% 84% Median
2 1.3% 1.3%  
3 0% 0%  

España Vaciada (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the España Vaciada (NI) page.

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Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 59% 93% Median
2 33% 34%  
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 0% 22–25 21–25 21–26 20–27
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 19 0% 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–23
Vox (PfE) 0 9 0% 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–12
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 4 0% 3–6 3–6 2–7 2–7
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–4 2–5 2–5 1–5
España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–3 1–3 0–3
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 1.3% 99.8%  
21 5% 98.5%  
22 18% 94%  
23 32% 75% Median
24 27% 43%  
25 13% 17%  
26 1.2% 3%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 4% 99.7%  
18 21% 95%  
19 34% 74% Median
20 22% 40%  
21 12% 18%  
22 5% 6%  
23 0.8% 0.9%  
24 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 8% 99.7%  
8 24% 92%  
9 23% 68% Median
10 32% 45%  
11 10% 13%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 4% 99.9%  
3 22% 96%  
4 29% 74% Median
5 34% 45%  
6 7% 10%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 32% 98%  
3 34% 66% Median
4 26% 32%  
5 5% 6%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 41% 98.7%  
2 47% 57% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information