Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | UP | PACMA | EH Bildu | Podemos | CUP | S–Podemos–IU | S–IU | S–CC–MC–MP–Ch | ERC | BNG | BNG–NCG | AR | PE | Cmp | PSOE | Cs | EAJ/PNV | PRC | CC | CEU | PP | Vox | Junts | EV | SALF | UPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
3–6% 1–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–2 |
3–6% 2–4 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
26–32% 18–22 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
31–38% 22–26 |
9–17% 6–12 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–4% 0–2 |
0–1% 0 |
| 11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 1–2 |
3–5% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
25–31% 18–22 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
30–35% 21–25 |
14–18% 9–13 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 2–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 1–2 |
3–6% 2–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
25–31% 18–22 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
30–36% 22–26 |
11–15% 7–10 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
| 5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
3–6% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 1–2 |
3–5% 1–3 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
26–31% 18–21 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
32–38% 23–25 |
11–15% 7–9 |
1–3% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0–1 |
0–1% 0 |
| 24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
4–6% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 0–1 |
3–4% 2–3 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
26–30% 18–20 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
34–38% 23–26 |
9–12% 6–8 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–4% 1–2 |
0–1% 0 |
| 22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0–2 |
2–6% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 1–2 |
3–6% 2–4 |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
26–33% 17–23 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
32–40% 20–27 |
8–14% 6–9 |
1–3% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 1–2 |
0–1% 0 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 1–3 |
4–7% 2–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
27–32% 18–22 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
32–38% 23–27 |
9–13% 6–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
| 16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
3–4% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 1–2 |
3–5% 2–3 |
1–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
26–30% 18–20 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
33–37% 23–26 |
10–13% 7–8 |
1–3% 1 |
N/A N/A |
3–4% 1–2 |
0% 0 |
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- UP: Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)
- PACMA: Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL)
- EH Bildu: Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)
- Podemos: Podemos (GUE/NGL)
- CUP: Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL)
- S–Podemos–IU: Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
- S–IU: Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
- S–CC–MC–MP–Ch: Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
- ERC: Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)
- BNG: Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA)
- BNG–NCG: Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)
- AR: Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA)
- PE: Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)
- Cmp: Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA)
- PSOE: Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
- Cs: Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE)
- EAJ/PNV: Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)
- PRC: Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)
- CC: Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)
- CEU: Coalición por Europa (RE)
- PP: Partido Popular (EPP)
- Vox: Vox (PfE)
- Junts: Junts per Catalunya (NI)
- EV: España Vaciada (NI)
- SALF: Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)
- UPN: Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.9% |
| Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.6–5.9% | 2.2–6.4% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.6–4.0% | 1.4–4.6% |
| Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.8–6.2% | 2.5–6.8% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.8–3.2% |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–2.0% |
| Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0.0% | 28.4% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–31.1% | 25.7–31.7% | 24.8–33.1% |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Coalición por Europa (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0.0% | 34.9% | 32.1–37.0% | 31.4–37.7% | 30.8–38.3% | 29.7–39.6% |
| Vox (PfE) | 0.0% | 11.6% | 9.9–15.2% | 9.5–16.1% | 9.2–16.8% | 8.5–17.8% |
| Junts per Catalunya (NI) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.5% |
| España Vaciada (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.3–3.9% | 1.2–4.1% | 1.0–4.5% |
| Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–1.1% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 17% | 92% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 27% | 74% | Median |
| 28.5–29.5% | 25% | 47% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 13% | 22% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% |
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 48% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 42% | 50% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 17% | 95% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 27% | 78% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 12% | 32% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 7% | 20% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 5% | 13% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Podemos (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 98% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 38% | 70% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 26% | 32% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 34% | 89% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 40% | 56% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 15% | 15% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partido Popular (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 4% | 98% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 8% | 94% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 12% | 86% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 17% | 74% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 35.5–36.5% | 19% | 35% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 10% | 16% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% |
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 23% | 99.3% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 23% | 31% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 13% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 77% | 87% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 62% | 99.9% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 36% | 38% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 74% | 99.7% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 25% | 26% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 62% | 63% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 30% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 66% | 70% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.
Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) page.
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 49% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Podemos (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 44% | 92% | Median |
| 3 | 43% | 47% | |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) page.
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 67% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 28% | 30% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 48% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 40% | 51% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego (Greens/EFA) page.
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) page.
Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) page.
Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) page.
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 37% | 94% | |
| 20 | 36% | 57% | Median |
| 21 | 16% | 21% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) page.
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 30% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) page.
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición por Europa (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición por Europa (RE) page.
Partido Popular (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 8% | 98% | |
| 23 | 20% | 90% | |
| 24 | 31% | 70% | Median |
| 25 | 28% | 39% | |
| 26 | 10% | 11% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 23% | 84% | |
| 8 | 34% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 10% | 26% | |
| 10 | 6% | 16% | |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
España Vaciada (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the España Vaciada (NI) page.
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 41% | 42% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0 | 24 | 0% | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0 | 20 | 0% | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
| Vox (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partido Popular (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 8% | 98% | |
| 23 | 20% | 90% | |
| 24 | 31% | 70% | Median |
| 25 | 28% | 39% | |
| 26 | 10% | 11% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 37% | 94% | |
| 20 | 36% | 57% | Median |
| 21 | 16% | 21% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 23% | 84% | |
| 8 | 34% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 10% | 26% | |
| 10 | 6% | 16% | |
| 11 | 7% | 10% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular (GUE/NGL) – Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) – Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (GUE/NGL) – Podemos (GUE/NGL) – Unidos Podemos (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 24% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 42% | 71% | |
| 5 | 25% | 29% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Ahora Repúblicas (Greens/EFA) – Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) – Coalició Compromís (Greens/EFA) – Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) – Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) – Primavera Europea (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 19% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 60% | 80% | |
| 4 | 18% | 20% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
España Vaciada (NI) – Junts per Catalunya (NI) – Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 29% | 96% | |
| 2 | 39% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 29% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía (RE) – Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) – Coalición por Europa (RE) – Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) – Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 18% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 7
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 13,631,488
- Error estimate: 3.96%