Opinion Poll by OGM for KURIER, 12–15 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) |
34.6% |
26.0% |
24.4–27.7% |
23.9–28.2% |
23.5–28.6% |
22.8–29.4% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) |
23.9% |
24.0% |
22.5–25.7% |
22.0–26.1% |
21.6–26.6% |
20.9–27.4% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) |
17.2% |
21.0% |
19.6–22.6% |
19.1–23.1% |
18.8–23.5% |
18.1–24.2% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) |
8.4% |
12.0% |
10.8–13.3% |
10.5–13.6% |
10.2–14.0% |
9.7–14.6% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) |
14.1% |
12.0% |
10.8–13.3% |
10.5–13.6% |
10.2–14.0% |
9.7–14.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
84% |
99.3% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
15% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
15% |
100% |
|
5 |
84% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
99.0% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
95% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) |
7 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) |
5 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
84% |
99.3% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
15% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
99.0% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
15% |
100% |
|
5 |
84% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
95% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: OGM
- Commissioner(s): KURIER
- Fieldwork period: 12–15 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1170
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.30%