NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 10.5% | 8.8–12.8% | 8.4–13.3% | 8.0–13.8% | 7.4–14.6% |
17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.5–11.8% | 8.0–12.4% |
16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
12.0% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.9–14.4% | 9.3–15.2% |
2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
26–27 August 2024 | Market | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.0–11.4% |
15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–2 July 2024 | Market | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.5% |
24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 6% | 99.1% | |
8.5–9.5% | 18% | 93% | |
9.5–10.5% | 27% | 75% | Median |
10.5–11.5% | 20% | 48% | |
11.5–12.5% | 15% | 28% | |
12.5–13.5% | 9% | 13% | |
13.5–14.5% | 3% | 4% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
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28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
26–27 August 2024 | Market | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
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8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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1–2 July 2024 | Market | |||||
24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
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10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 6% | 100% | |
2 | 86% | 94% | Median |
3 | 8% | 8% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |