NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
| 11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| 4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| 30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
| 5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| 26–27 August 2024 | Market | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| 5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| 25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.4–10.9% | 7.0–11.4% |
| 15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 July 2024 | Market | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 23% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 49% | 74% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 22% | 25% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
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| 28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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| 2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26–27 August 2024 | Market | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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| 19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
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| 8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 1–2 July 2024 | Market | |||||
| 24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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| 10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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| 10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |