Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 22–30 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0.0% 27.0% 25.7–28.3% 25.4–28.7% 25.1–29.0% 24.5–29.6%
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0.0% 23.0% 21.8–24.2% 21.5–24.6% 21.2–24.9% 20.7–25.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0.0% 22.0% 20.8–23.2% 20.5–23.6% 20.2–23.9% 19.7–24.5%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
Bierpartei (*) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–7
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 5 5 5 5 4–6
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Bierpartei (*) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 6% 100%  
6 92% 94% Median
7 1.5% 1.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 96% 98% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 11% 100%  
5 89% 89% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 99.0% 99.0% Median
3 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 81% 100% Median
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Bierpartei (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 6 0% 6 5–6 5–6 5–7
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 5 0% 5 5 5 4–6
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 6% 100%  
6 92% 94% Median
7 1.5% 1.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 96% 98% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 11% 100%  
5 89% 89% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 99.0% 99.0% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations