Opinion Poll by IFDD for Radio Content Austria, 23–26 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.7–29.4% | 24.2–29.8% | 23.4–30.8% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.6% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 100% | |
| 6 | 82% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 49% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 52% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 47% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 27% | 100% | |
| 2 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 38% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Wandel (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 100% | |
| 6 | 82% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 49% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 52% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 47% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 38% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IFDD
- Commissioner(s): Radio Content Austria
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 972
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.13%