Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 2–4 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0.0% 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–37.9%
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0.0% 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.7% 17.9–24.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.7%
Bierpartei (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–9
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Bierpartei (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 38% 99.7%  
8 60% 62% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 46% 99.9%  
5 54% 54% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 75% 99.3% Median
5 25% 25%  
6 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 25% 100%  
2 75% 75% Median
3 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 71% 100% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Bierpartei (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 8 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–9
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 38% 99.7%  
8 60% 62% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 75% 99.3% Median
5 25% 25%  
6 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 46% 99.9%  
5 54% 54% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 25% 100%  
2 75% 75% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations