Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 10–11 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) |
0.0% |
33.0% |
31.7–34.4% |
31.3–34.8% |
31.0–35.1% |
30.3–35.8% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) |
0.0% |
23.0% |
21.8–24.2% |
21.5–24.6% |
21.2–24.9% |
20.7–25.5% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) |
0.0% |
19.0% |
17.9–20.2% |
17.6–20.5% |
17.3–20.8% |
16.8–21.4% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
10.0% |
9.2–10.9% |
8.9–11.2% |
8.7–11.4% |
8.4–11.9% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) |
0.0% |
10.0% |
9.2–10.9% |
8.9–11.2% |
8.7–11.4% |
8.4–11.9% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.6–3.6% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
94% |
99.9% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
98% |
98.7% |
Median |
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.1% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.1% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) |
0 |
7 |
0% |
7 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) |
0 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) |
0 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
94% |
99.9% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
98% |
98.7% |
Median |
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.1% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Market
- Commissioner(s): ÖSTERREICH
- Fieldwork period: 10–11 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.27%