Opinion Poll by Market for Standard, 28 May–3 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 34.0% | 31.9–36.2% | 31.3–36.8% | 30.8–37.3% | 29.8–38.3% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.3–22.9% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.4–23.9% | 17.5–24.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.8% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.8% | 8.1–12.2% | 7.5–12.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.8% | 8.1–12.2% | 7.5–12.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.1–4.5% | 1.8–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 51% | 99.2% | Median |
| 8 | 48% | 48% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 79% | 98.5% | Median |
| 5 | 19% | 19% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 51% | 99.2% | Median |
| 8 | 48% | 48% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 79% | 98.5% | Median |
| 5 | 19% | 19% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Market
- Commissioner(s): Standard
- Fieldwork period: 28 May–3 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 824
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.24%