Opinion Poll by Unique Research for Heute, 20–23 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 34.0% | 31.9–36.1% | 31.3–36.7% | 30.8–37.3% | 29.9–38.3% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 23.0% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.2–25.9% | 19.4–26.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 17.0% | 15.4–18.7% | 15.0–19.3% | 14.6–19.7% | 13.9–20.6% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.4–12.9% | 9.1–13.3% | 8.5–14.1% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.8–11.5% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.2–12.3% | 7.6–13.0% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 38% | 39% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 18% | 100% | |
| 5 | 78% | 82% | Median |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 56% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 44% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 98.9% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 33% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 38% | 39% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 18% | 100% | |
| 5 | 78% | 82% | Median |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 56% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 44% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Unique Research
- Commissioner(s): Heute
- Fieldwork period: 20–23 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 836
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.44%