Opinion Poll by Unique Research for Heute, 19–26 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 35.0% | 32.9–37.1% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.3% | 30.8–39.3% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.0% | 20.3–24.0% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.5–26.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 18.0% | 16.4–19.8% | 15.9–20.4% | 15.5–20.8% | 14.8–21.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% | 9.0–13.3% | 8.4–14.1% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 42% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 39% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 60% | 61% | Median |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 29% | 100% | |
| 4 | 70% | 71% | Median |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 98.8% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 34% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 64% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 36% | 36% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 42% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 39% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 60% | 61% | Median |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 29% | 100% | |
| 4 | 70% | 71% | Median |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 34% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Unique Research
- Commissioner(s): Heute
- Fieldwork period: 19–26 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 821
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.46%