Opinion Poll by OGM for ServusTV, 1–30 September 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 37.0% | 34.3–39.8% | 33.6–40.6% | 32.9–41.2% | 31.7–42.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.7–24.7% | 16.7–25.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 15.0% | 13.2–17.2% | 12.7–17.8% | 12.2–18.4% | 11.4–19.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.1% | 12.3–16.2% | 11.8–16.8% | 11.3–17.3% | 10.5–18.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% | 5.0–9.5% | 4.5–10.3% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.7–6.1% | 2.3–6.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 63% | 89% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 56% | 98.8% | Median |
| 5 | 42% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 81% | 93% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 19% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 81% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 45% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 63% | 89% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 56% | 98.8% | Median |
| 5 | 42% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 81% | 93% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: OGM
- Commissioner(s): ServusTV
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 September 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 519
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.94%