Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–21 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 36.2% 34.1–38.3% 33.5–38.9% 33.0–39.5% 32.1–40.5%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 23.5% 21.8–25.5% 21.3–26.0% 20.8–26.5% 20.0–27.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.4% 9.2–11.9% 8.9–12.3% 8.6–12.7% 8.0–13.4%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7% 7.2–11.0% 6.7–11.7%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.6% 7.1–10.9% 6.6–11.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 6% 100%  
5 94% 94% Median
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.1% 100%  
3 98% 98.9% Median
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.5% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.3% Median
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 6% 100%  
5 94% 94% Median
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations