Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.7% | 5.6–9.0% | 5.1–9.6% |
| 1–4 December 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.1–9.2% | 5.6–9.8% |
| 1–20 November 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.6–8.5% | 5.4–8.8% | 4.9–9.4% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.1% |
| 1–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 6.0–10.2% |
| 1–20 September 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
7.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 5.0–9.5% |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
| 1–20 August 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.3–8.2% | 5.1–8.5% | 4.7–9.1% |
| 30 July–2 August 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.4–9.4% |
| 1–20 July 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.4% | 5.3–8.7% | 4.8–9.3% |
| 7–10 July 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.1% |
| 1–20 June 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.3–8.1% | 5.1–8.4% | 4.7–9.0% |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
6.6% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.7% |
| 1–20 May 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–29 April 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
7.4% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.9–9.4% | 5.4–10.0% |
| 1–20 April 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 April 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 March 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 March 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 March 2025 | Promocija plus HRT |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–27 February 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 February 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
7.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 February 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Promocija Plus RTL |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 February 2025 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 January 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 January 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 December 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–29 November 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 November 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 November 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 October 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–28 September 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 September 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 September 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 August 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July–2 August 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
7.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 July 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–25 June 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 June 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Most nezavisnih lista (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 19% | 98% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 42% | 79% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 29% | 37% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–4 December 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 November 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 September 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–20 August 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 July–2 August 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 July 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–10 July 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 June 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 May 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 22–29 April 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–20 April 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 1–4 April 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
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| 17–24 March 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 March 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 17–19 March 2025 | Promocija plus HRT |
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| 4–6 March 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
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| 17–27 February 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 February 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 15–18 February 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 4–6 February 2025 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 1 February 2025 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 January 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 8–9 January 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 1–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 16–17 December 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 15–29 November 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 November 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 14–19 November 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 4–7 November 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 1–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 15–17 October 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 1–4 October 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 13–28 September 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 September 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 2–5 September 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 August 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 31 July–2 August 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 31 July 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 July 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 1–4 July 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 17–25 June 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 June 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Most nezavisnih lista (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |