Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 25.6% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.2–28.8% | 21.7–29.3% | 20.8–30.3% |
| 1–4 December 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
27.0% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.9–29.3% | 24.5–29.8% | 23.7–30.6% |
| 1–20 November 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
24.0% | 22.2–26.0% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.3–27.0% | 20.4–27.9% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.4% | 25.5–30.9% | 24.7–31.7% |
| 1–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
21.4% | 19.8–23.2% | 19.4–23.7% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.2–24.9% |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
27.1% | 25.4–28.9% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.6–29.8% | 23.8–30.7% |
| 1–20 September 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.4% | 24.5–28.4% | 24.0–29.0% | 23.5–29.5% | 22.6–30.5% |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
27.5% | 25.8–29.3% | 25.4–29.8% | 25.0–30.3% | 24.2–31.2% |
| 1–20 August 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.5% | 24.6–28.5% | 24.1–29.1% | 23.6–29.6% | 22.8–30.6% |
| 30 July–2 August 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
27.4% | 25.7–29.2% | 25.2–29.7% | 24.8–30.1% | 24.0–31.0% |
| 1–20 July 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
25.4% | 23.5–27.3% | 23.0–27.9% | 22.5–28.4% | 21.7–29.3% |
| 7–10 July 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
27.2% | 25.5–29.0% | 25.1–29.5% | 24.7–30.0% | 23.9–30.8% |
| 1–20 June 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.2% | 24.3–28.2% | 23.8–28.7% | 23.4–29.2% | 22.5–30.2% |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.4% | 25.5–30.8% | 24.7–31.7% |
| 1–20 May 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–29 April 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
28.1% | 26.2–30.2% | 25.7–30.7% | 25.2–31.2% | 24.3–32.2% |
| 1–20 April 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 April 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 March 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 March 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 March 2025 | Promocija plus HRT |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–27 February 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
26.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 February 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 February 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Promocija Plus RTL |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 February 2025 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
26.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 January 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 January 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
27.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 December 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–29 November 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 November 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
27.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 November 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
27.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 October 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
26.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–28 September 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
25.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 September 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 September 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
25.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
25.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 August 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July–2 August 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
26.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
25.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 July 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–25 June 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–21 June 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 11% | 93% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 15% | 82% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 15% | 67% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 16% | 35% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 11% | 18% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–4 December 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–20 November 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–20 September 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| 1–20 August 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 30 July–2 August 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 1–20 July 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7–10 July 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–20 June 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–20 May 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 22–29 April 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 1–20 April 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 1–4 April 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
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| 17–24 March 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 March 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 17–19 March 2025 | Promocija plus HRT |
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| 4–6 March 2025 | Promocija plus RTL |
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| 17–27 February 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 February 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 15–18 February 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 4–6 February 2025 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 1 February 2025 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 January 2025 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 8–9 January 2025 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 1–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 16–17 December 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 15–29 November 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 November 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 14–19 November 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 4–7 November 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 1–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 15–17 October 2024 | Promocija Plus HRT |
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| 1–4 October 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 13–28 September 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–20 September 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 2–5 September 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 August 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 31 July–2 August 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 31 July 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 July 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
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| 1–4 July 2024 | Promocija Plus RTL |
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| 17–25 June 2024 | 2x1 Komunikacije Večernji list |
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| 1–21 June 2024 | Ipsos Nova TV |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 45% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |