Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 17–25 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 34.4% 32.4–36.5% 31.9–37.1% 31.4–37.6% 30.4–38.6%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 24.3% 22.5–26.2% 22.0–26.7% 21.6–27.2% 20.8–28.1%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.4% 7.0–10.7% 6.6–11.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.1–10.2% 6.8–10.5% 6.4–11.1%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.5–8.3% 5.3–8.6% 4.8–9.2%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.7% 1.4–4.1%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.2%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.6–2.7%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5 5–6 4–6 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 91% 96% Median
6 5% 5%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 76% 100% Median
4 24% 24%  
5 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.9% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5 5–6 4–6 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 91% 96% Median
6 5% 5%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations