Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–21 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 35.4% 33.4–37.6% 32.8–38.2% 32.3–38.7% 31.3–39.8%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 22.3% 20.5–24.2% 20.0–24.8% 19.6–25.3% 18.8–26.2%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.0% 8.8–11.5% 8.5–11.9% 8.2–12.3% 7.6–13.0%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 8.8% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.6% 7.1–11.0% 6.6–11.6%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.1–9.6% 6.8–10.0% 6.6–10.3% 6.1–11.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 50% 100% Median
5 50% 50%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 21% 100%  
3 79% 79% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.9% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 50% 100% Median
5 50% 50%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.9% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations