Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 31 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 36.9% 34.8–39.1% 34.3–39.7% 33.7–40.2% 32.8–41.3%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.1% 23.3–27.1% 22.7–27.6% 22.3–28.1% 21.4–29.1%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–10.9% 7.4–11.3% 6.9–12.0%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.7% 7.5–10.0% 7.2–10.4% 7.0–10.8% 6.5–11.4%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.3% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.9% 5.7–9.2% 5.3–9.9%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.1–3.6%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 48% 100%  
6 52% 52% Median
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 46% 100%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 48% 100%  
6 52% 52% Median
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations