Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–21 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 34.4% 32.3–36.5% 31.8–37.1% 31.3–37.6% 30.3–38.7%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 22.6% 20.8–24.5% 20.3–25.0% 19.9–25.5% 19.1–26.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.7% 10.4–13.2% 10.0–13.7% 9.7–14.0% 9.1–14.8%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9% 6.5–10.2% 6.0–10.9%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 7.4% 6.3–8.6% 6.1–9.0% 5.8–9.3% 5.3–10.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 57% 100% Median
5 43% 43%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 89% 90% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 57% 100% Median
5 43% 43%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations