Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 13–27 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 36.8% 34.7–39.0% 34.0–39.6% 33.5–40.2% 32.5–41.2%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.3% 23.4–27.3% 22.9–27.9% 22.4–28.4% 21.6–29.4%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.9% 7.1–10.3% 6.8–10.7% 6.3–11.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.4% 7.3–9.8% 6.9–10.2% 6.7–10.5% 6.2–11.2%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.9–9.6% 5.4–10.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 15% 100%  
5 83% 85% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 91% 99.5% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 15% 100%  
5 83% 85% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations