Opinion Poll by Promocija Plus for RTL, 2–5 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 33.1% 31.2–34.9% 30.7–35.5% 30.3–35.9% 29.4–36.8%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.7% 24.0–27.5% 23.6–28.0% 23.2–28.4% 22.4–29.3%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.1% 9.1–11.4% 8.7–11.8% 8.5–12.1% 8.0–12.7%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 7.0–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.0–7.6%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.2%
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 91% 92% Median
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 95% 95% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 100% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 91% 92% Median
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 100% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations