Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 13–28 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 36.6% 34.5–38.7% 33.9–39.3% 33.4–39.8% 32.4–40.9%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.3% 23.4–27.2% 22.9–27.8% 22.5–28.3% 21.6–29.2%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–10.0% 7.2–10.3% 6.9–10.7% 6.4–11.4%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.6% 6.5–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 6.0–9.5% 5.5–10.2%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.7% 4.1–8.3%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.7% 1.4–4.1%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.7–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.9% 100%  
5 75% 99.1% Median
6 24% 24%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 48% 100%  
4 52% 52% Median
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.9% 100%  
5 75% 99.1% Median
6 24% 24%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations