Opinion Poll by Promocija Plus for RTL, 1–4 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.3–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 29.0–36.4%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 26.2% 24.5–27.9% 24.0–28.4% 23.6–28.9% 22.8–29.8%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 9.0–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.2–13.0%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.6%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4%
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 15% 100%  
5 84% 85% Median
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 86% 86% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 15% 100%  
5 84% 85% Median
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations