Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 15–29 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 35.9% 33.8–38.0% 33.2–38.6% 32.7–39.1% 31.8–40.2%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.5% 23.6–27.4% 23.1–28.0% 22.7–28.5% 21.8–29.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.3% 7.2–9.7% 6.9–10.0% 6.7–10.4% 6.2–11.0%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.8% 6.2–9.2% 5.9–9.5% 5.5–10.1%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.6–5.2% 2.3–5.7%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.0–5.1%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.0–3.5%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.4%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 78% 99.9% Median
6 22% 22%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 22% 100%  
4 78% 78% Median
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 78% 99.9% Median
6 22% 22%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations