Opinion Poll by Promocija Plus for HRT, 16–17 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 32.0% 29.9–34.1% 29.4–34.7% 28.9–35.2% 27.9–36.3%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 27.5% 25.6–29.6% 25.1–30.2% 24.6–30.7% 23.7–31.7%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.1% 9.8–12.6% 9.4–13.0% 9.1–13.4% 8.5–14.1%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 8.2% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9% 6.5–10.2% 6.0–10.9%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.4–5.0% 2.1–5.5%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.4%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.9%
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.7%
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.7%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.6%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.6–2.0% 0.4–2.4%
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.2%
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.2%
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.1%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 96% 97% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 14% 99.3%  
5 85% 85% Median
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pravo i Pravda (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5 5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 96% 97% Median
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations