Opinion Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije for Večernji list, 1 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 35.0% | 32.9–37.2% | 32.3–37.8% | 31.8–38.3% | 30.8–39.4% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 26.4% | 24.4–28.4% | 23.9–29.0% | 23.4–29.5% | 22.5–30.5% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.1–10.4% | 6.9–10.8% | 6.4–11.5% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.4% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.8–9.4% | 5.3–10.1% |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.5–4.5% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.1–3.0% | 0.9–3.4% |
| Centar (RE) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.8–3.3% |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Centar (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 87% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 13% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 100% | |
| 4 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centar (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 87% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 13% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: 2x1 Komunikacije
- Commissioner(s): Večernji list
- Fieldwork period: 1 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 812
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.26%