Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 31.2% 29.2–33.4% 28.7–34.0% 28.2–34.5% 27.2–35.5%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 30.5% 28.5–32.6% 28.0–33.2% 27.5–33.7% 26.5–34.8%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.5% 10.2–13.0% 9.8–13.4% 9.5–13.8% 8.9–14.6%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.1% 6.1–8.4% 5.8–8.8% 5.5–9.1% 5.1–9.7%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.7% 2.0–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 87% 99.6% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.2% 100%  
4 92% 98.8% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 77% 77% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 87% 99.6% Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations