Opinion Poll by 2x1 komunikacije for Večernji list, 17–27 February 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 32.7% | 30.7–34.9% | 30.2–35.5% | 29.7–36.0% | 28.7–37.0% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 26.9% | 25.0–28.9% | 24.5–29.5% | 24.0–30.0% | 23.2–31.0% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.9% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.3–11.3% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.5% | 6.2–9.8% | 5.7–10.5% |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.7% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.4–3.4% | 1.2–3.9% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 39% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 34% | 100% | |
| 4 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.9% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 39% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.9% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: 2x1 komunikacije
- Commissioner(s): Večernji list
- Fieldwork period: 17–27 February 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 855
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.76%