Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 31.4% 29.4–33.5% 28.8–34.1% 28.3–34.6% 27.4–35.6%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 29.3% 27.3–31.3% 26.7–31.9% 26.3–32.4% 25.4–33.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.2% 11.8–14.8% 11.4–15.3% 11.1–15.7% 10.4–16.5%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4% 5.3–8.7% 4.8–9.3%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 4.3% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.6% 3.1–5.9% 2.8–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.9% 100%  
4 85% 99.1% Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 89% 91% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.9% 100%  
4 85% 99.1% Median
5 15% 15%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations