Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 29.0% 27.1–31.1% 26.6–31.6% 26.1–32.1% 25.2–33.1%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 28.4% 26.5–30.4% 25.9–30.9% 25.5–31.4% 24.6–32.4%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.0% 10.7–13.5% 10.3–13.9% 10.0–14.3% 9.4–15.0%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 6.4% 5.4–7.6% 5.2–7.9% 4.9–8.2% 4.5–8.8%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.3% 3.7–6.5% 3.3–7.1%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 88% 98% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 91% 96% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 74% 100% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 88% 98% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 74% 100% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations