Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 33.6% 31.6–35.7% 31.0–36.3% 30.5–36.8% 29.6–37.8%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 26.6% 24.8–28.6% 24.2–29.2% 23.8–29.6% 22.9–30.6%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.5% 9.4–12.9% 9.1–13.3% 8.5–14.0%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6% 5.5–8.9% 5.0–9.5%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.5% 1.9–4.9%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.5% 1.9–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 32% 100%  
5 67% 68% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 43% 100%  
4 57% 57% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 32% 100%  
5 67% 68% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations