Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 7–10 July 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 35.2% | 33.3–37.1% | 32.8–37.6% | 32.4–38.1% | 31.5–39.0% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 27.2% | 25.5–29.0% | 25.1–29.5% | 24.7–30.0% | 23.9–30.8% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 12.4% | 11.2–13.7% | 10.8–14.1% | 10.5–14.5% | 10.0–15.1% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.1% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| Centar (RE) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
| Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% |
| Fokus na bitno (RE) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% |
| Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.3% |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Centar (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fokus na bitno (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 42% | 100% | |
| 6 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 100% | |
| 4 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 34% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centar (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pravo i Pravda (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Fokus na bitno (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 42% | 100% | |
| 6 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 34% | 100% | |
| 2 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Radnička fronta (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Promocija plus
- Commissioner(s): RTL
- Fieldwork period: 7–10 July 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1083
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.92%