Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 32.8% 30.8–34.9% 30.3–35.5% 29.8–36.0% 28.8–37.1%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 25.4% 23.5–27.3% 23.0–27.9% 22.5–28.4% 21.7–29.3%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–14.1% 10.8–14.5% 10.4–14.9% 9.8–15.7%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4% 5.3–8.7% 4.8–9.3%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.9–4.1% 1.6–4.6%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.9–4.1% 1.6–4.6%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 22% 100%  
5 76% 78% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 44% 100%  
4 56% 56% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 46% 100%  
2 54% 54% Median
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0% 0%  

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 22% 100%  
5 76% 78% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 46% 100%  
2 54% 54% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations