Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 27.7% 25.9–29.6% 25.4–30.1% 25.0–30.6% 24.1–31.5%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 21.4% 19.8–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.0–24.1% 18.2–24.9%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 10.0–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 17% 100%  
4 83% 83% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 90% 90% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 17% 100%  
4 83% 83% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations