Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 1–4 December 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 33.0% | 31.2–34.9% | 30.7–35.4% | 30.3–35.9% | 29.4–36.8% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.9–29.3% | 24.5–29.8% | 23.7–30.6% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.9% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.8–17.1% | 12.3–17.8% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.1–9.2% | 5.6–9.8% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.3–5.2% |
| NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
| Centar (RE) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Centar (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 24% | 100% | |
| 5 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 16% | 100% | |
| 4 | 84% | 84% | Median |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centar (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pravo i Pravda (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 24% | 100% | |
| 5 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Promocija plus
- Commissioner(s): RTL
- Fieldwork period: 1–4 December 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1084
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.16%