Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for HRT, 16–18 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 34.6% 32.6–36.8% 32.0–37.4% 31.5–37.9% 30.6–38.9%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 26.1% 24.2–28.1% 23.7–28.6% 23.2–29.1% 22.4–30.1%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.8% 13.4–16.5% 13.0–16.9% 12.6–17.4% 11.9–18.2%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.4–7.6% 4.0–8.2%
NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.8% 2.1–5.3%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.0%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.6–2.8%
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 65% 99.9% Median
6 34% 34%  
7 0.2% 0.2% Majority
8 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 80% 92% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.9% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 60% 60% Median
2 0% 0%  

NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NL Marija Selak Raspudić (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pravo i Pravda (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0.2% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 65% 99.9% Median
6 34% 34%  
7 0.2% 0.2% Majority
8 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.9% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations