Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 2–4 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 34.6% 32.6–36.7% 32.0–37.3% 31.5–37.9% 30.5–38.9%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 26.2% 24.4–28.2% 23.8–28.8% 23.4–29.3% 22.5–30.3%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.3% 12.9–16.0% 12.5–16.4% 12.1–16.8% 11.5–17.7%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.2% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.8% 5.7–9.2% 5.2–9.8%
Drito (ECR) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.2% 2.1–4.4% 1.8–4.9%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.9–4.1% 1.6–4.6%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.0%
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.0%
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Drito (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus na bitno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 84% 100% Median
6 16% 16%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 91% 91% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Drito (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Drito (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pravo i Pravda (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus na bitno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus na bitno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 84% 100% Median
6 16% 16%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations