Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 31 March–2 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 35.3% 33.2–37.4% 32.6–38.0% 32.1–38.5% 31.1–39.6%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 26.8% 24.9–28.8% 24.4–29.4% 23.9–29.9% 23.0–30.8%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.9% 12.4–15.5% 12.0–16.0% 11.7–16.4% 11.1–17.2%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.8% 6.2–9.2% 5.9–9.5% 5.5–10.2%
Drito (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.6–3.7% 1.4–4.2%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.7%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.7%
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.4–2.3%
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.5% 0.2–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Drito (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 86% 97% Median
6 11% 11%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 17% 100%  
4 83% 83% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0% 0%  

Drito (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Drito (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pravo i Pravda (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 86% 97% Median
6 11% 11%  
7 0% 0% Majority

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations