Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Nova TV, 1–20 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 32.5% | 30.5–34.7% | 29.9–35.3% | 29.5–35.8% | 28.5–36.8% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 23.3% | 21.5–25.2% | 21.0–25.8% | 20.5–26.3% | 19.7–27.2% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.1% | 12.7–15.8% | 12.3–16.2% | 11.9–16.7% | 11.3–17.5% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.4–9.9% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.3–11.3% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.5% | 1.8–5.0% |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–3.9% | 1.5–4.4% |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.2% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.2% |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.7–3.0% |
| Drito (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Centar (RE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.5–2.5% |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
| Stranka antikorupcije, razvoja i transparentnosti (*) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.1% |
| Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.1% |
| Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drito (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Centar (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka antikorupcije, razvoja i transparentnosti (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 99.1% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 19% | 100% | |
| 4 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatski suverenisti (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Drito (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Drito (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pravo i Pravda (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centar (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska seljačka stranka (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stranka antikorupcije, razvoja i transparentnosti (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka antikorupcije, razvoja i transparentnosti (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 99.1% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Nova TV
- Fieldwork period: 1–20 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 842
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.10%