Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 30 June–2 July 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0.0% | 32.5% | 30.4–34.6% | 29.8–35.2% | 29.4–35.7% | 28.4–36.7% |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0.0% | 25.8% | 24.0–27.9% | 23.4–28.4% | 23.0–28.9% | 22.1–29.9% |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.7% | 13.2–16.3% | 12.8–16.8% | 12.4–17.2% | 11.7–18.1% |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.3% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% | 7.5–11.4% | 6.9–12.1% |
| Drito (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.5–4.4% |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.4–4.3% |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.7–2.9% |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.4% | 0.6–2.7% |
| Centar (RE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.5–2.6% |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.5–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Drito (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Domovinski pokret (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Centar (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pravo i Pravda (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 40% | 100% | |
| 5 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 42% | 100% | |
| 4 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.8% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Drito (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Drito (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Domovinski pokret (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centar (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pravo i Pravda (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Možemo! (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 40% | 100% | |
| 5 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Možemo! (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Promocija plus
- Commissioner(s): RTL
- Fieldwork period: 30 June–2 July 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 832
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.48%