Opinion Poll by Promocija plus for RTL, 6–8 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0.0% 29.6% 27.7–31.7% 27.1–32.3% 26.6–32.8% 25.7–33.8%
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0.0% 23.1% 21.3–25.0% 20.8–25.6% 20.4–26.1% 19.6–27.0%
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.4% 14.8–18.1% 14.4–18.6% 14.0–19.0% 13.3–19.9%
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0.0% 11.6% 10.3–13.1% 9.9–13.6% 9.6–14.0% 9.0–14.7%
Drito (ECR) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.1%
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.2% 1.4–3.4% 1.1–3.8%
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Centar (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.9%
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.9%
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.7%
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Drito (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domovinski pokret (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Centar (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pravo i Pravda (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 72% 99.9% Median
5 28% 28%  
6 0% 0%  

Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 78% 99.9% Median
4 22% 22%  
5 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Možemo! (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 90% 100% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Most nezavisnih lista (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Most nezavisnih lista (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Drito (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Drito (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Domovinski pokret (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Domovinski pokret (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Centar (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centar (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pravo i Pravda (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pravo i Pravda (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Istarski demokratski sabor (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Istarski demokratski sabor (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nezavisna Platforma Sjever (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Možemo! (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3

Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 72% 99.9% Median
5 28% 28%  
6 0% 0%  

Možemo! (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 90% 100% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations