Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 26–28 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.3% |
25.6–29.2% |
25.1–29.7% |
24.6–30.1% |
23.8–31.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
17.7% |
16.2–19.3% |
15.8–19.8% |
15.5–20.2% |
14.8–21.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
10.4% |
9.2–11.7% |
8.9–12.1% |
8.6–12.4% |
8.1–13.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.6–11.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.8% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.6% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
96% |
99.2% |
Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
11% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
96% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
86% |
99.8% |
Median |
5 |
14% |
14% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
8% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
|
1 |
87% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 26–28 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1011
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.78%