Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) O A V F C B I Å Ø K D E P G Q Æ M
26 May 2019 General Election 26.6%
4		 19.1%
3		 16.7%
2		 10.9%
1		 9.1%
1		 6.5%
1		 2.9%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 6–8%
0–1		 18–22%
3–4		 10–13%
2–3		 13–16%
2–3		 6–8%
1		 6–8%
1		 11–14%
1–2		 2–3%
0		 6–8%
1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 7–9%
1		 4–6%
0–1
23–29 April 2024 Epinion
DR		 5–8%
0–1		 18–22%
3–4		 10–13%
2–3		 13–16%
2–3		 6–8%
1		 6–8%
1		 11–14%
1–2		 2–3%
0		 6–8%
1		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 N/A
N/A		 7–9%
1		 4–6%
0–1
26 May 2019 General Election 26.6%
4		 19.1%
3		 16.7%
2		 10.9%
1		 9.1%
1		 6.5%
1		 2.9%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0		 0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 26.6% 6.5% 5.8–7.3% 5.6–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.1%
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 19.1% 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.6–21.7% 18.4–21.9% 17.9–22.5%
Venstre (RE) 16.7% 11.2% 10.3–12.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.9–12.7% 9.5–13.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 10.9% 14.6% 13.6–15.7% 13.3–16.0% 13.1–16.2% 12.6–16.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 9.1% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 6.5% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 2.9% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.6–8.5%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Borgerlisten (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Stram Kurs (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Veganerpartiet (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.1–9.2% 7.0–9.4% 6.6–9.8%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.1% 3.8–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.4–5.8%

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 3% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 49% 97%  
6.5–7.5% 44% 48% Median
7.5–8.5% 4% 4%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 0%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.2% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 99.8%  
18.5–19.5% 23% 96% Last Result
19.5–20.5% 41% 74% Median
20.5–21.5% 26% 32%  
21.5–22.5% 6% 6%  
22.5–23.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.8% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 16% 99.2%  
10.5–11.5% 51% 83% Median
11.5–12.5% 28% 32%  
12.5–13.5% 3% 4%  
13.5–14.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10.5–11.5% 0% 100% Last Result
11.5–12.5% 0.4% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 8% 99.6%  
13.5–14.5% 38% 91%  
14.5–15.5% 40% 53% Median
15.5–16.5% 12% 13%  
16.5–17.5% 0.9% 1.0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.8% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 30% 99.2%  
6.5–7.5% 58% 69% Median
7.5–8.5% 11% 11%  
8.5–9.5% 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.3% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 19% 99.7%  
6.5–7.5% 61% 80% Last Result, Median
7.5–8.5% 19% 20%  
8.5–9.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100% Last Result
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 2% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 24% 98%  
11.5–12.5% 50% 75% Median
12.5–13.5% 22% 25%  
13.5–14.5% 2% 2%  
14.5–15.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0.3% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 17% 99.7%  
7.5–8.5% 58% 83% Median
8.5–9.5% 23% 25%  
9.5–10.5% 1.4% 1.4%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0.4% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 70% 99.6% Median
2.5–3.5% 29% 29%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 1.4% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 52% 98.6%  
4.5–5.5% 44% 47% Median
5.5–6.5% 2% 2%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.5% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 24% 99.5%  
6.5–7.5% 60% 75% Median
7.5–8.5% 15% 15%  
8.5–9.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) 2 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 1 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Borgerlisten (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Stram Kurs (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Veganerpartiet (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Frie Grønne (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 12% 100% Last Result
4 88% 88% Median
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.4% 100%  
2 94% 99.6% Last Result, Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 99.7% 99.7% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Borgerlisten (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Stram Kurs (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Veganerpartiet (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 3 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 1 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 1 3 0% 3 3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgerlisten () – Frie Grønne () – Stram Kurs () – Veganerpartiet () 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 85% 100% Last Result, Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 12% 100% Last Result
4 88% 88% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 4% 100%  
3 96% 96% Median
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Borgerlisten () – Frie Grønne () – Stram Kurs () – Veganerpartiet ()

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information