Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 21.4% 19.9–23.0% 19.4–23.5% 19.0–23.8% 18.3–24.6%
20–26 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 21.2% 19.6–22.9% 19.1–23.4% 18.7–23.8% 18.0–24.6%
13–19 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
6–12 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 20.3% 18.8–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.8%
23 September–5 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.3–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
26 September–2 October 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 20.9% 19.6–22.2% 19.3–22.6% 19.0–22.9% 18.4–23.6%
24–30 September 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 22.1% 20.8–23.5% 20.5–23.9% 20.1–24.2% 19.6–24.8%
22–28 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
15–21 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.3–24.3% 18.5–25.2%
8–14 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.6% 18.8–25.5%
1–7 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 21.4% 19.8–23.1% 19.4–23.6% 19.0–24.1% 18.2–24.9%
25–31 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 19.5% 17.9–21.2% 17.5–21.6% 17.1–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
18–24 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 20.3% 18.8–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.8%
13–20 August 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 19.5% 18.3–20.9% 17.9–21.2% 17.6–21.6% 17.0–22.2%
11–17 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.6–23.8% 19.2–24.2% 18.5–25.0%
23–29 June 2025 Voxmeter 22.4% 20.7–24.1% 20.3–24.6% 19.9–25.0% 19.1–25.9%
16–22 June 2025 Voxmeter 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.6–23.8% 19.2–24.2% 18.5–25.0%
9–15 June 2025 Voxmeter 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.4% 19.5–26.3%
2–8 June 2025 Voxmeter 23.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 May–2 June 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 21.1% 19.8–22.5% 19.5–22.9% 19.2–23.2% 18.6–23.9%
25 May–1 June 2025 Voxmeter 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.6–26.4%
19–25 May 2025 Voxmeter 23.8% 22.2–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.3–26.6% 20.5–27.5%
12–18 May 2025 Voxmeter 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.8–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
5–11 May 2025 Voxmeter 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.2% 20.1–27.0%
9 May 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 22.9% 21.6–24.2% 21.3–24.6% 21.0–24.9% 20.4–25.6%
28 April–4 May 2025 Voxmeter 22.9% 21.3–24.7% 20.8–25.2% 20.4–25.6% 19.7–26.5%
22–29 April 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 22.9% 21.6–24.4% 21.2–24.8% 20.9–25.1% 20.2–25.8%
21–27 April 2025 Voxmeter 22.4% 20.8–24.1% 20.3–24.6% 19.9–25.1% 19.2–25.9%
14–20 April 2025 Voxmeter 23.5% 21.8–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.2% 20.1–27.1%
7–13 April 2025 Voxmeter 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.2–25.3% 19.4–26.2%
31 March–6 April 2025 Voxmeter 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.6–26.4%
26 March–1 April 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 22.5% 21.2–23.9% 20.8–24.2% 20.5–24.6% 19.9–25.2%
24–30 March 2025 Voxmeter 22.6% 21.0–24.3% 20.6–24.8% 20.2–25.2% 19.4–26.0%
19–26 March 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 23.2% 21.9–24.6% 21.5–24.9% 21.2–25.3% 20.6–26.0%
17–23 March 2025 Voxmeter 23.8% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.0% 21.2–26.5% 20.4–27.4%
10–16 March 2025 Voxmeter 23.4% 21.7–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.1–27.0%
3–9 March 2025 Voxmeter 23.2% 21.5–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.9% 19.9–26.7%
26 February–4 March 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 21.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.4–23.6% 20.1–23.9% 19.5–24.5%
24 February–2 March 2025 Voxmeter 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.1–25.3% 19.4–26.2%
17–23 February 2025 Voxmeter 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.8–24.0% 19.4–24.5% 18.6–25.3%
10–16 February 2025 Voxmeter 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
3–9 February 2025 Voxmeter 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.3%
29 January–4 February 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 23.0% 21.8–24.3% 21.4–24.6% 21.1–24.9% 20.6–25.6%
27 January–2 February 2025 Voxmeter 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
20–26 January 2025 Voxmeter 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
15–22 January 2025 Epinion
DR		 19.7% 18.5–21.0% 18.1–21.4% 17.8–21.7% 17.3–22.3%
13–19 January 2025 Voxmeter 19.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 January 2025 Voxmeter 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 December 2024 Voxmeter 20.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 December 2024 Voxmeter 20.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 December 2024 Verian
Berlingske		 19.6% 18.4–20.9% 18.1–21.2% 17.8–21.5% 17.2–22.1%
4 November–10 December 2024 Epinion
DR		 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 December 2024 Voxmeter 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 November–1 December 2024 Voxmeter 20.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 November 2024 Voxmeter 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 November 2024 Voxmeter 18.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 November 2024 Verian
Berlingske		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 November 2024 Voxmeter 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–6 November 2024 Epinion
DR		 19.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 October–3 November 2024 Voxmeter 20.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–27 October 2024 Voxmeter 20.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 October 2024 Voxmeter 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 October 2024 Voxmeter 20.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–30 September 2024 Voxmeter 21.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 September 2024 Epinion
DR		 19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 September 2024 Voxmeter 20.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 September 2024 Voxmeter 19.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 September 2024 Verian
Berlingske		 18.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 September 2024 Voxmeter 20.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 August–1 September 2024 Voxmeter 21.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 August 2024 Voxmeter 22.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 August 2024 Voxmeter 21.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 August 2024 Epinion
DR		 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 August 2024 Voxmeter 21.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–23 June 2024 Voxmeter 18.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 June 2024 Voxmeter 19.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2024 Verian
Berlingske		 16.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.1% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0.8% 99.9%  
18.5–19.5% 5% 99.2%  
19.5–20.5% 18% 94%  
20.5–21.5% 30% 76% Median
21.5–22.5% 28% 46%  
22.5–23.5% 14% 18%  
23.5–24.5% 4% 4%  
24.5–25.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
20–26 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
13–19 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
6–12 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
23 September–5 October 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
26 September–2 October 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 4 4 4 4 3–4
24–30 September 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
22–28 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4 4 3–4 3–5
15–21 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
8–14 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
1–7 September 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4 4 3–5 3–5
25–31 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
18–24 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
13–20 August 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
11–17 August 2025 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
23–29 June 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
16–22 June 2025 Voxmeter 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
9–15 June 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
2–8 June 2025 Voxmeter          
26 May–2 June 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
25 May–1 June 2025 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
19–25 May 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
12–18 May 2025 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
5–11 May 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9 May 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
28 April–4 May 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
22–29 April 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
21–27 April 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
14–20 April 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
7–13 April 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
31 March–6 April 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
26 March–1 April 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
24–30 March 2025 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
19–26 March 2025 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
17–23 March 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
10–16 March 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
3–9 March 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
26 February–4 March 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
24 February–2 March 2025 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
17–23 February 2025 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
10–16 February 2025 Voxmeter 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
3–9 February 2025 Voxmeter 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
29 January–4 February 2025 Verian
Berlingske		 4 4 4 4 4–5
27 January–2 February 2025 Voxmeter 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
20–26 January 2025 Voxmeter 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
15–22 January 2025 Epinion
DR		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
13–19 January 2025 Voxmeter          
6–12 January 2025 Voxmeter          
16–23 December 2024 Voxmeter          
9–15 December 2024 Voxmeter          
4–10 December 2024 Verian
Berlingske		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
4 November–10 December 2024 Epinion
DR		          
2–8 December 2024 Voxmeter          
25 November–1 December 2024 Voxmeter          
18–24 November 2024 Voxmeter          
11–17 November 2024 Voxmeter          
6–13 November 2024 Verian
Berlingske		          
4–10 November 2024 Voxmeter          
30 October–6 November 2024 Epinion
DR		          
28 October–3 November 2024 Voxmeter          
21–27 October 2024 Voxmeter          
14–21 October 2024 Voxmeter          
7–13 October 2024 Voxmeter          
23–30 September 2024 Voxmeter          
20–27 September 2024 Epinion
DR		          
16–22 September 2024 Voxmeter          
9–15 September 2024 Voxmeter          
4–10 September 2024 Verian
Berlingske		          
2–8 September 2024 Voxmeter          
26 August–1 September 2024 Voxmeter          
19–25 August 2024 Voxmeter          
12–18 August 2024 Voxmeter          
7–14 August 2024 Epinion
DR		          
5–11 August 2024 Voxmeter          
17–23 June 2024 Voxmeter          
10–16 June 2024 Voxmeter          
10–12 June 2024 Verian
Berlingske		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 88% 93% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%