Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.2% | 17.7–20.7% | 17.2–21.2% | 16.8–21.5% | 16.1–22.2% |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 18.7% | 17.2–20.3% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.0% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 19.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 20.4% | 19.0–21.9% | 18.6–22.4% | 18.3–22.8% | 17.6–23.5% |
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 19.6% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–23.0% |
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 21.7% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.3% |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
19.9% | 18.7–21.2% | 18.3–21.6% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.4–22.6% |
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
18.9% | 17.6–20.3% | 17.3–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.4–21.6% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 20.3% | 18.8–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.5% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
19.2% | 18.1–20.4% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.5–21.0% | 17.0–21.6% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 19.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
16.9% | 15.6–18.3% | 15.3–18.7% | 15.0–19.1% | 14.4–19.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 21% | 92% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 32% | 71% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 25% | 39% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 13% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 46% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |