Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 19.1% (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.6–21.7% 18.4–21.9% 17.9–22.5%
23–29 April 2024 Epinion
DR		 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.6–21.7% 18.4–21.9% 17.8–22.5%
6–13 March 2024 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 February–5 March 2024 Ipsos
Euronews		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
19–25 February 2024 Voxmeter 22.2% 20.6–23.9% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.9% 19.0–25.7%
12–18 February 2024 Voxmeter 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 February 2024 Kantar
Berlingske		 21.7% 20.5–22.9% 20.2–23.2% 19.9–23.5% 19.3–24.1%
5–11 February 2024 Voxmeter 21.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 January–5 February 2024 Voxmeter 21.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 January 2024 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.8–25.4%
22–28 January 2024 Voxmeter 23.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 January 2024 Voxmeter 22.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 January 2024 Voxmeter 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 December 2023 Voxmeter 20.1% 18.5–21.7% 18.1–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 17.0–23.5%
11–17 December 2023 Voxmeter 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.3–23.5% 18.9–23.9% 18.1–24.8%
6–13 December 2023 Epinion
DR		 19.6% 18.4–20.9% 18.1–21.3% 17.8–21.6% 17.2–22.2%
4–10 December 2023 Voxmeter 20.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 November–3 December 2023 Voxmeter 20.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 November 2023 Voxmeter 20.9% 19.4–22.6% 18.9–23.1% 18.5–23.5% 17.8–24.3%
8–15 November 2023 Epinion
DR		 18.2% 17.2–19.3% 16.9–19.6% 16.7–19.9% 16.2–20.4%
6–12 November 2023 Voxmeter 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–5 November 2023 Voxmeter 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.7% 19.7–26.5%
3 October 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 22.2% 21.0–23.5% 20.7–23.9% 20.4–24.2% 19.8–24.8%
25 September–1 October 2023 Voxmeter 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.4% 19.5–26.3%
22–29 September 2023 Epinion
DR		 20.4% 19.3–21.5% 19.0–21.9% 18.7–22.1% 18.2–22.7%
18–24 September 2023 Voxmeter 23.3% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.9%
11–17 September 2023 Voxmeter 23.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 September 2023 YouGov
B.T.		 22.7% 21.1–24.4% 20.7–24.9% 20.3–25.3% 19.5–26.2%
28 August–3 September 2023 Voxmeter 23.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 August 2023 Epinion
DR		 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 August 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 22.8% 21.6–24.1% 21.2–24.5% 20.9–24.8% 20.4–25.4%
31 July–7 August 2023 Voxmeter 24.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 June 2023 Voxmeter 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 June 2023 Voxmeter 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 June 2023 Voxmeter 21.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 May–6 June 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 21.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 May 2023 Voxmeter 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 May 2023 Voxmeter 21.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 May 2023 Voxmeter 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 May 2023 Voxmeter 21.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 April 2023 Voxmeter 21.6% 20.0–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.2–24.3% 18.5–25.1%
19–26 April 2023 Epinion
DR		 21.1% 20.0–22.3% 19.7–22.6% 19.4–22.9% 18.9–23.5%
17–23 April 2023 Voxmeter 22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 April 2023 Voxmeter 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.2–26.9%
7–13 April 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 20.7% 19.5–21.9% 19.2–22.3% 18.9–22.6% 18.4–23.2%
3–10 April 2023 Voxmeter 22.4% 20.8–24.2% 20.4–24.7% 20.0–25.1% 19.2–26.0%
27 March–3 April 2023 Voxmeter 22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 March 2023 Epinion
DR		 20.8% 19.7–21.9% 19.4–22.2% 19.1–22.5% 18.7–23.1%
20–26 March 2023 Voxmeter 23.6% 21.9–25.4% 21.5–25.9% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.2%
13–19 March 2023 Voxmeter 22.2% 20.6–23.9% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.8% 19.0–25.7%
10–13 March 2023 YouGov
B.T.		 23.0% 21.5–24.6% 21.1–25.1% 20.8–25.5% 20.1–26.2%
6–12 March 2023 Voxmeter 21.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 February–5 March 2023 Voxmeter 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 February 2023 Voxmeter 24.0% 22.3–25.7% 21.8–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.6–27.6%
14–20 February 2023 Epinion
DR		 21.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.3–23.5% 20.0–23.9% 19.5–24.5%
13–19 February 2023 Voxmeter 24.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 February 2023 Voxmeter 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January–5 February 2023 Voxmeter 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 January–2 February 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 23.1% 21.8–24.5% 21.4–24.9% 21.1–25.2% 20.5–25.9%
23–29 January 2023 Voxmeter 22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 January 2023 Voxmeter 24.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 January 2023 Voxmeter 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 January 2023 Voxmeter 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.7–30.9%
19–22 December 2022 Voxmeter 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.3%
12–18 December 2022 Voxmeter 26.7% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.1% 24.1–29.6% 23.3–30.5%
12–18 December 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.0% 25.8–28.3% 25.5–28.6% 25.2–28.9% 24.6–29.5%
5–11 December 2022 Voxmeter 28.6% 26.9–30.5% 26.4–31.1% 25.9–31.5% 25.1–32.4%
28–4 December 2022 Voxmeter 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 November–1 December 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.9% 26.5–29.4% 26.1–29.8% 25.8–30.2% 25.1–30.9%
21–27 November 2022 Voxmeter 28.0% 26.2–29.9% 25.7–30.4% 25.3–30.8% 24.5–31.8%
7–13 November 2022 Voxmeter 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.2–32.9% 26.4–33.9%
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 27.5% 26.1–29.2% 25.6–29.7% 25.3–30.1% 24.5–30.8%
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 24.2% 23.4–25.0% 23.2–25.3% 23.0–25.5% 22.6–25.8%
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.2% 25.4–27.1% 25.1–27.3% 24.9–27.5% 24.5–27.9%
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.4–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.5–29.0% 22.7–29.9%
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.1% 21.0–28.0%
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 28.6% 27.0–30.3% 26.6–30.8% 26.2–31.2% 25.4–32.0%
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.7% 23.9–27.6% 23.4–28.1% 23.0–28.6% 22.2–29.5%
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.3% 23.1–25.5% 22.8–25.8% 22.5–26.1% 22.0–26.7%
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 30.3% 28.7–32.0% 28.3–32.4% 27.9–32.8% 27.2–33.6%
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.7% 26.4–29.0% 26.1–29.4% 25.8–29.7% 25.2–30.4%
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.9% 24.8–27.0% 24.5–27.3% 24.3–27.6% 23.7–28.2%
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.4% 26.1–28.7% 25.8–29.1% 25.5–29.4% 24.9–30.0%
11 October 2022 Yougov 30.6% 29.0–32.3% 28.5–32.8% 28.1–33.2% 27.4–34.0%
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.1% 25.4–28.9% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
7 October 2022 Yougov 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 25.0–30.2% 24.2–31.1%
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.7% 25.4–28.1% 25.0–28.5% 24.7–28.9% 24.0–29.5%
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.3% 26.0–28.7% 25.7–29.0% 25.4–29.4% 24.8–30.0%
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.3% 23.6–27.1% 23.1–27.6% 22.7–28.1% 21.9–29.0%
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 24.4% 23.0–25.8% 22.7–26.2% 22.3–26.6% 21.7–27.3%
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.9% 21.7–28.8%
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.4% 24.3–26.6% 23.9–27.0% 23.7–27.3% 23.1–27.8%
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 24.2% 22.5–26.0% 22.0–26.5% 21.6–26.9% 20.8–27.8%
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.5% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 23.3% 22.2–24.5% 21.9–24.8% 21.6–25.1% 21.1–25.7%
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 23.0–27.4% 22.6–27.8% 21.8–28.6%
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 23.9% 22.3–25.6% 21.8–26.1% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.4%
7 August 2022 Yougov 26.1% 24.5–27.7% 24.1–28.2% 23.7–28.6% 23.0–29.4%
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 23.5% 22.2–24.9% 21.8–25.3% 21.5–25.7% 20.9–26.4%
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.2% 23.1–25.7% 22.7–26.0% 22.4–26.4% 21.8–27.0%
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.2% 22.9–30.1%
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.8% 23.9–29.3% 23.1–30.1%
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 25.4% 24.0–26.9% 23.6–27.3% 23.3–27.6% 22.6–28.3%
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.5–28.1% 24.0–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.7–27.2% 22.3–27.6% 21.5–28.5%
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.2% 26.0–28.5% 25.6–28.8% 25.3–29.1% 24.8–29.8%
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 25.5% 23.8–27.4% 23.3–27.9% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.2%
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.5% 24.3–26.8% 23.9–27.2% 23.6–27.5% 23.0–28.1%
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.6–28.9% 22.8–29.8%
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 25.7% 24.3–27.3% 23.9–27.7% 23.5–28.1% 22.8–28.8%
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.7% 26.3–29.1% 25.9–29.5% 25.6–29.9% 24.9–30.6%
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 27.8% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.3% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 29.1% 27.5–30.8% 27.0–31.2% 26.6–31.7% 25.8–32.5%
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.7% 25.2–28.2% 24.8–28.6% 24.5–29.0% 23.8–29.7%
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.4% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.3%
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.4% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.1–30.2%
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 28.0% 26.7–29.3% 26.4–29.7% 26.1–30.0% 25.5–30.7%
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 30.4% 28.8–32.2% 28.4–32.7% 28.0–33.1% 27.2–33.9%
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.8% 23.6–26.0% 23.3–26.4% 23.0–26.7% 22.4–27.3%
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter 24.8% 23.1–26.6% 22.6–27.2% 22.3–27.6% 21.5–28.5%
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 28.2% 26.6–29.9% 26.1–30.3% 25.7–30.7% 25.0–31.6%
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.5% 26.1–28.9% 25.7–29.3% 25.4–29.7% 24.7–30.4%
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.8–27.2% 22.4–27.7% 21.6–28.6%
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter 26.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter 25.8% 24.1–27.7% 23.6–28.2% 23.2–28.6% 22.4–29.5%
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.8% 21.7–28.7%
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter 26.3% 24.5–28.1% 24.1–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–29.9%
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter 25.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter 24.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 26.7% 25.3–28.1% 24.9–28.5% 24.6–28.9% 23.9–29.6%
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		 26.3% 25.0–27.7% 24.6–28.1% 24.3–28.5% 23.7–29.1%
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 26.5% 25.1–28.0% 24.7–28.4% 24.4–28.7% 23.7–29.4%
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter 26.8% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.2% 24.1–29.6% 23.3–30.5%
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 October 2021 Epinion 28.0% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.2–31.0%
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 October 2021 Gallup 27.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 September 2021 Epinion 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 30.8% 29.2–32.5% 28.7–33.0% 28.3–33.4% 27.5–34.2%
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 31.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter 30.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.7% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.1%
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup 27.9% 26.5–29.3% 26.2–29.7% 25.8–30.1% 25.2–30.7%
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.1%
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.8–33.1%
4–10 June 2021 Gallup 26.7% 25.2–28.2% 24.8–28.6% 24.5–29.0% 23.8–29.8%
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.3% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter 30.5% 28.7–32.3% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.3% 26.9–34.2%
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.7% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.1–35.6%
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.0% 29.1–32.9% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.8%
11–19 May 2021 Epinion 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.8–30.5% 26.4–30.9% 25.7–31.6%
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.8% 30.0–33.8% 29.5–34.3% 29.0–34.8% 28.2–35.7%
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.0% 31.4–34.8% 30.9–35.2% 30.5–35.7% 29.7–36.5%
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.2–34.0% 29.7–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.4–35.9%
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.1%
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.7–34.5% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.5%
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.5–33.3% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.3% 27.7–35.2%
7–13 April 2021 Epinion 30.7% 29.2–32.2% 28.8–32.6% 28.4–33.0% 27.8–33.7%
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.2% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter 32.0% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.4% 29.1–34.9% 28.3–35.8%
2–8 April 2021 Gallup 29.3% 27.9–30.8% 27.5–31.2% 27.2–31.6% 26.6–32.3%
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter 34.1% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter 32.8% 30.9–34.7% 30.4–35.2% 29.9–35.7% 29.1–36.6%
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter 32.4% 30.6–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.2–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		 32.6% 31.6–33.5% 31.4–33.8% 31.2–34.0% 30.7–34.5%
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 35.1% 33.4–36.9% 32.9–37.4% 32.5–37.8% 31.7–38.6%
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter 33.1% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.3–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter 32.2% 30.4–34.1% 29.9–34.7% 29.4–35.1% 28.5–36.0%
22–28 January 2021 Gallup 29.5% 28.0–31.1% 27.6–31.5% 27.3–31.9% 26.6–32.6%
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.3%
18–21 January 2021 Epinion 32.5% 31.1–34.0% 30.7–34.4% 30.3–34.8% 29.7–35.5%
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.3% 31.7–35.1% 31.2–35.6% 30.8–36.0% 30.0–36.9%
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter 33.3% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.6% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter 32.8% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.0–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.3–36.8%
4–10 December 2020 Gallup 29.5% 28.0–31.0% 27.6–31.5% 27.2–31.8% 26.5–32.6%
1–8 December 2020 Epinion 31.5% 30.1–33.0% 29.7–33.4% 29.3–33.8% 28.7–34.5%
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 32.9% 31.3–34.7% 30.8–35.2% 30.4–35.6% 29.6–36.4%
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.6% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.0%
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter 30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.5–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.2% 27.7–35.1%
6–12 November 2020 Gallup 29.2% 27.8–30.7% 27.4–31.1% 27.1–31.4% 26.4–32.2%
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 33.5% 31.8–35.3% 31.4–35.8% 31.0–36.2% 30.2–37.0%
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–34.9% 29.7–35.4% 28.8–36.4%
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.3%
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter 29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter 30.8% 29.0–32.8% 28.5–33.3% 28.1–33.8% 27.2–34.7%
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.4–33.2% 28.9–33.7% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.1%
2–5 October 2020 YouGov 32.3% 30.6–34.0% 30.2–34.5% 29.8–34.9% 29.0–35.8%
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter 32.2% 30.7–33.7% 30.3–34.1% 29.9–34.5% 29.2–35.2%
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup 29.4% 28.2–30.7% 27.8–31.1% 27.5–31.4% 26.9–32.1%
22–28 September 2020 Epinion 31.3% 29.9–32.8% 29.4–33.2% 29.1–33.6% 28.4–34.3%
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.0% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.2–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.5–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.2–36.8%
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.9–34.5% 30.4–35.0% 29.9–35.5% 29.1–36.4%
1–8 September 2020 Epinion 33.2% 31.7–34.7% 31.3–35.2% 31.0–35.5% 30.3–36.3%
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter 32.3% 30.5–34.2% 30.0–34.8% 29.5–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.3–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.8%
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.9% 30.5–36.4% 29.6–37.3%
1–31 July 2020 Gallup 30.3% 28.8–31.9% 28.3–32.3% 28.0–32.7% 27.3–33.4%
2–6 July 2020 YouGov 32.7% 31.0–34.4% 30.5–34.9% 30.1–35.4% 29.3–36.2%
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.4% 31.7–39.4%
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.6% 32.7–36.5% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.9–38.5%
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.4% 31.2–36.9% 30.3–37.9%
11 June 2020 Gallup 33.1% 31.6–34.7% 31.2–35.1% 30.8–35.5% 30.1–36.3%
8–10 June 2020 YouGov 33.8% 32.1–35.5% 31.6–36.0% 31.2–36.5% 30.4–37.3%
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.4%
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.7% 32.9–36.7% 32.4–37.2% 31.9–37.7% 31.0–38.6%
22–29 May 2020 Epinion 34.5% 33.0–36.0% 32.6–36.4% 32.2–36.8% 31.5–37.6%
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.4–38.3% 33.0–38.8% 32.1–39.8%
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.7% 32.8–36.6% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.6% 30.9–38.6%
7–11 May 2020 YouGov 32.8% 31.1–34.5% 30.6–35.0% 30.2–35.4% 29.4–36.3%
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.2% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 33.3% 31.4–35.2% 30.9–35.7% 30.4–36.2% 29.6–37.2%
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.6% 33.7–37.5% 33.2–38.1% 32.7–38.5% 31.8–39.5%
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.6% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–39.0%
10–16 April 2020 Epinion 35.1% 33.6–36.6% 33.2–37.1% 32.8–37.4% 32.1–38.2%
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.5% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–38.9%
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.5% 31.2–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup 31.9% 30.4–33.5% 30.0–33.9% 29.6–34.3% 28.9–35.1%
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 31.5% 29.7–33.3% 29.2–33.9% 28.7–34.3% 27.9–35.2%
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.2% 26.5–30.1% 26.0–30.6% 25.6–31.0% 24.8–31.9%
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.9–30.3% 24.1–31.2%
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		 27.7% 26.3–29.2% 25.9–29.6% 25.6–30.0% 24.9–30.7%
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.8% 25.1–28.6% 24.6–29.1% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.8–30.2% 24.0–31.1%
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
7–13 February 2020 Gallup 26.4% 25.0–27.9% 24.6–28.3% 24.2–28.7% 23.6–29.4%
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.4% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.8% 25.8–31.2% 25.0–32.1%
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.8% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.2–30.7% 24.4–31.6%
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.0% 25.3–28.8% 24.8–29.3% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.0% 24.3–27.9% 23.9–28.4% 23.5–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.2–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 23.0–30.0%
12 December 2019 Gallup 25.9% 24.5–27.5% 24.1–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.1–29.0%
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.8% 24.2–27.8% 23.7–28.3% 23.3–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.6% 24.9–28.4% 24.4–28.9% 24.0–29.4% 23.2–30.2%
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		 25.7% 24.4–27.2% 24.0–27.6% 23.6–27.9% 23.0–28.6%
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
8 November 2019 Gallup 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		 26.1% 24.7–27.6% 24.3–28.0% 24.0–28.4% 23.3–29.1%
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.2%
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.3% 25.4–30.8% 24.6–31.7%
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
29 September 2019 Gallup 26.1% 24.6–27.6% 24.2–28.0% 23.9–28.4% 23.2–29.1%
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.5–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.6% 23.6–29.0% 22.8–29.9%
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.7% 26.0–29.5% 25.5–30.1% 25.1–30.5% 24.3–31.4%
12 September 2019 Gallup 25.5% 24.2–27.0% 23.9–27.4% 23.5–27.7% 22.9–28.4%
9 September 2019 YouGov 27.1% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.1–29.4% 23.3–30.3%
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.3% 25.5–29.1% 25.1–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.2% 24.6–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.7–29.0% 22.9–29.9%
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
8 August 2019 Gallup 25.5% 24.1–26.9% 23.7–27.4% 23.4–27.7% 22.7–28.4%
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 24.9% 23.4–26.8% 22.9–27.3% 22.5–27.7% 21.7–28.5%
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.3% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.1% 22.0–29.0%
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
31 May–4 June 2019 YouGov 27.3% 25.6–29.1% 25.1–29.6% 24.7–30.0% 23.9–30.9%
4 June 2019 Gallup 25.7% 24.9–26.5% 24.7–26.7% 24.5–26.9% 24.1–27.3%
4 June 2019 Epinion
DR		 25.7% 24.6–26.9% 24.2–27.2% 24.0–27.5% 23.4–28.0%
30 May–3 June 2019 YouGov 28.2% 26.3–30.2% 25.7–30.8% 25.3–31.3% 24.4–32.3%
1–3 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 29.3% 27.6–31.3% 27.1–31.8% 26.7–32.3% 25.8–33.2%
3 June 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 28.6% 26.9–30.3% 26.5–30.8% 26.1–31.2% 25.3–32.0%
3 June 2019 Greens Analyseinstitut
Børsen		 26.2% 24.6–27.9% 24.1–28.3% 23.7–28.8% 23.0–29.6%
29 May–2 June 2019 YouGov 29.0% 27.0–31.2% 26.4–31.8% 25.9–32.3% 25.0–33.3%
31 May–2 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.2% 27.0–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
28 May–1 June 2019 YouGov 28.5% 26.6–30.5% 26.1–31.1% 25.6–31.6% 24.7–32.6%
30 May–1 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.3% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.7% 25.6–31.2% 24.8–32.1%
29–31 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
26–30 May 2019 YouGov 28.0% 26.2–29.9% 25.7–30.5% 25.3–30.9% 24.4–31.8%
28–30 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.4–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.5–30.0% 23.7–30.9%
28–30 May 2019 Epinion
DR		 26.1% 24.8–27.5% 24.4–27.9% 24.1–28.3% 23.5–28.9%
25–29 May 2019 YouGov 26.2% 24.4–28.1% 24.0–28.6% 23.5–29.1% 22.7–29.9%
27–29 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.1% 25.4–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
24–28 May 2019 YouGov 26.3% 24.5–28.2% 24.0–28.7% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
26–28 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
28 May 2019 Gallup 25.5% 24.1–27.0% 23.7–27.5% 23.4–27.8% 22.7–28.6%
25–27 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.6% 24.9–28.5% 24.4–29.0% 24.0–29.4% 23.2–30.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.2% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 99.8%  
18.5–19.5% 23% 96% Last Result
19.5–20.5% 41% 74% Median
20.5–21.5% 26% 32%  
21.5–22.5% 6% 6%  
22.5–23.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
23–29 April 2024 Epinion
DR		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
6–13 March 2024 Epinion
Altinget and DR		          
23 February–5 March 2024 Ipsos
Euronews		 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
19–25 February 2024 Voxmeter 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
12–18 February 2024 Voxmeter          
15 February 2024 Kantar
Berlingske		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
5–11 February 2024 Voxmeter          
29 January–5 February 2024 Voxmeter          
24–31 January 2024 Epinion
Altinget and DR		 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
22–28 January 2024 Voxmeter          
14–21 January 2024 Voxmeter          
8–14 January 2024 Voxmeter          
18–22 December 2023 Voxmeter 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
11–17 December 2023 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
6–13 December 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
4–10 December 2023 Voxmeter          
27 November–3 December 2023 Voxmeter          
13–19 November 2023 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
8–15 November 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
6–12 November 2023 Voxmeter          
30 October–5 November 2023 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
3 October 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
25 September–1 October 2023 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
22–29 September 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
18–24 September 2023 Voxmeter 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
11–17 September 2023 Voxmeter          
7–11 September 2023 YouGov
B.T.		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
28 August–3 September 2023 Voxmeter          
14–23 August 2023 Epinion
DR		          
16–22 August 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
31 July–7 August 2023 Voxmeter          
19–25 June 2023 Voxmeter          
12–18 June 2023 Voxmeter          
5–11 June 2023 Voxmeter          
31 May–6 June 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		          
22–28 May 2023 Voxmeter          
15–21 May 2023 Voxmeter          
8–14 May 2023 Voxmeter          
1–7 May 2023 Voxmeter          
24–30 April 2023 Voxmeter 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
19–26 April 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
17–23 April 2023 Voxmeter          
10–17 April 2023 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
7–13 April 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4 4 4 3–4
3–10 April 2023 Voxmeter 4 4 4 4 4–5
27 March–3 April 2023 Voxmeter          
22–28 March 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4 3–4
20–26 March 2023 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
13–19 March 2023 Voxmeter 4 4 4 4 3–5
10–13 March 2023 YouGov
B.T.		 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
6–12 March 2023 Voxmeter          
27 February–5 March 2023 Voxmeter          
20–26 February 2023 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
14–20 February 2023 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4 4–5
13–19 February 2023 Voxmeter          
6–12 February 2023 Voxmeter          
30 January–5 February 2023 Voxmeter          
27 January–2 February 2023 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
23–29 January 2023 Voxmeter          
16–22 January 2023 Voxmeter          
9–15 January 2023 Voxmeter          
2–8 January 2023 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
19–22 December 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
12–18 December 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 5 4–6 4–6
12–18 December 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 5 5 5 4–6
5–11 December 2022 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
28–4 December 2022 Voxmeter          
25 November–1 December 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
21–27 November 2022 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
7–13 November 2022 Voxmeter 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter          
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		          
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter          
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 5 5 5–6
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 5 5–6 4–6
11 October 2022 Yougov 6 6 6 6 6
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 5 5 4–6
7 October 2022 Yougov          
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 5 5 4–6
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 5 5–6 5–6 4–6
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter          
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4 4 4 4–5
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 4 4 4 4 4–5
7 August 2022 Yougov 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter          
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter          
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter          
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 5 5 5 4–6
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter          
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 5 5 5 5 4–5
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter          
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		          
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–5
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter          
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter          
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter          
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter          
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter          
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter          
14–21 October 2021 Epinion 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter          
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter          
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter          
3 October 2021 Gallup          
21–29 September 2021 Epinion          
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter          
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter          
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		          
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter          
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter          
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter 5 5 5 4–5 4–6
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter 5 5 5–6 4–6 4–6
4–10 June 2021 Gallup 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 6 6 5–6 5–6
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
11–19 May 2021 Epinion 5 5 4–5 4–6 4–6
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
7–13 April 2021 Epinion 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 6 6 5–6 5–6
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
2–8 April 2021 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–7
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		 6 6 6 6 6
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 6 6 6 5–7
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
22–28 January 2021 Gallup 5 5 5 5 5
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
18–21 January 2021 Epinion 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 6 6 6 5–6 5–7
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
4–10 December 2020 Gallup 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
1–8 December 2020 Epinion 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
6–12 November 2020 Gallup 5 5 5 5 4–6
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 6 5–6 5–7
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
2–5 October 2020 YouGov 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 6 6 5–6
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup 5 5 5 5 5
22–28 September 2020 Epinion 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 4–6
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 6 5–6 5–7
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
1–8 September 2020 Epinion 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–7
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter 6 6 6 5–6 5–6
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
1–31 July 2020 Gallup 5 5 5 5 5–6
2–6 July 2020 YouGov 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
11 June 2020 Gallup 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
8–10 June 2020 YouGov 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6 6 6 5–7
22–29 May 2020 Epinion 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6 6–7 6–7 5–7
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
7–11 May 2020 YouGov 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6 5–6 5–7 5–7
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 6 5–6 5–7 5–7
10–16 April 2020 Epinion 6 6 6 6 5–6
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		 5 5 5 5 4–5
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
7–13 February 2020 Gallup 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 5 4–5
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 5 4–5
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
12 December 2019 Gallup 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
8 November 2019 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
29 September 2019 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
12 September 2019 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
9 September 2019 YouGov 5 5 5 4–5 4–6
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
8 August 2019 Gallup 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
31 May–4 June 2019 YouGov 5 5 5 4–5 4–6
4 June 2019 Gallup 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4 June 2019 Epinion
DR		 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
30 May–3 June 2019 YouGov 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
1–3 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 5–6 5–6
3 June 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
3 June 2019 Greens Analyseinstitut
Børsen		 5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
29 May–2 June 2019 YouGov 5 5 5–6 5–6 4–6
31 May–2 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
28 May–1 June 2019 YouGov 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
30 May–1 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–6
29–31 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5–6 5–6 4–6
26–30 May 2019 YouGov 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
28–30 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5–6 4–6 4–6
28–30 May 2019 Epinion
DR		 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
25–29 May 2019 YouGov 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
27–29 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 5 4–6
24–28 May 2019 YouGov 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
26–28 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 5 5 4–6
28 May 2019 Gallup 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
25–27 May 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 12% 100% Last Result
4 88% 88% Median
5 0% 0%