Opinion Poll by YouGov, 24–28 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.3% |
24.5–28.2% |
24.0–28.7% |
23.6–29.1% |
22.8–30.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
16.2% |
14.7–17.8% |
14.3–18.2% |
14.0–18.6% |
13.3–19.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
12.5% |
11.2–13.9% |
10.9–14.3% |
10.5–14.7% |
10.0–15.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.7–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.8% |
7.7–10.1% |
7.4–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.7–11.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.9% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.4–8.6% |
5.0–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.7% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.5–8.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.8–5.3% |
2.5–5.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.2% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
11% |
100% |
|
5 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
22% |
22% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.4% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
11% |
100% |
|
5 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
77% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
23% |
23% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 978
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.08%