Opinion Poll by YouGov, 28 May–1 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.5% |
26.6–30.5% |
26.1–31.1% |
25.6–31.6% |
24.7–32.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
20.9% |
19.2–22.8% |
18.7–23.3% |
18.3–23.8% |
17.6–24.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.5% |
7.4–9.8% |
7.1–10.2% |
6.8–10.6% |
6.3–11.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.7% |
7.0–10.1% |
6.7–10.4% |
6.2–11.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.2–9.6% |
6.9–10.0% |
6.6–10.3% |
6.1–11.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
6.7% |
5.7–7.9% |
5.4–8.2% |
5.2–8.5% |
4.8–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.5% |
4.3–6.8% |
4.1–7.1% |
3.7–7.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.3% |
3.3–5.6% |
3.1–5.8% |
2.8–6.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.9–4.1% |
1.6–4.5% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.5% |
1.6–3.7% |
1.4–4.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.5–3.5% |
1.3–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.4% |
0.6–2.8% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
70% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
27% |
27% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
33% |
100% |
|
4 |
65% |
67% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
|
1 |
78% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
18% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
31% |
100% |
|
5 |
64% |
69% |
Median |
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
70% |
97% |
Median |
6 |
27% |
27% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
|
1 |
78% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
18% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 May–1 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 870
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.59%