Opinion Poll by YouGov, 29 May–2 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
29.0% |
27.0–31.2% |
26.4–31.8% |
25.9–32.3% |
25.0–33.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
20.7% |
19.0–22.7% |
18.5–23.3% |
18.0–23.7% |
17.2–24.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
9.5% |
8.3–11.0% |
8.0–11.4% |
7.7–11.8% |
7.1–12.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.2% |
7.1–9.6% |
6.8–10.0% |
6.5–10.4% |
6.0–11.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
7.9% |
6.7–9.2% |
6.4–9.6% |
6.2–10.0% |
5.7–10.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
4.7–7.5% |
4.5–7.8% |
4.1–8.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.2% |
4.3–6.3% |
4.0–6.7% |
3.8–7.0% |
3.4–7.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.9–5.8% |
2.6–6.3% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.9–4.3% |
1.6–4.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.3% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.6–3.8% |
1.3–4.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.2% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.4–3.5% |
1.1–3.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.2–2.4% |
1.1–2.7% |
1.0–2.9% |
0.8–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
88% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
10% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
16% |
100% |
|
4 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
37% |
37% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
90% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
32% |
100% |
|
1 |
68% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
88% |
98% |
Median |
6 |
10% |
10% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
100% |
|
5 |
87% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
63% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
37% |
37% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
90% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
32% |
100% |
|
1 |
68% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 May–2 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 776
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.57%