Opinion Poll by Greens Analyseinstitut for Børsen, 3 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
26.2% |
24.6–27.9% |
24.1–28.3% |
23.7–28.8% |
23.0–29.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
18.7% |
17.3–20.2% |
16.9–20.7% |
16.5–21.0% |
15.9–21.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
10.5% |
9.4–11.7% |
9.1–12.1% |
8.9–12.4% |
8.4–13.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
8.4% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.2–9.9% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.5–10.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.4% |
7.0–9.7% |
6.8–10.0% |
6.4–10.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.5% |
5.7–7.6% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.3–8.1% |
4.9–8.6% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.1% |
4.2–6.4% |
4.0–6.6% |
3.7–7.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.0% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.7–5.7% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.1–4.9% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.8–4.3% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.8–4.3% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.3% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
11% |
100% |
|
5 |
85% |
89% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
80% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
20% |
20% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
31% |
100% |
|
2 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.7% |
98.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
42% |
100% |
|
1 |
58% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
54% |
54% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
11% |
100% |
|
5 |
85% |
89% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
79% |
98.9% |
Median |
5 |
20% |
20% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
43% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
31% |
100% |
|
2 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
42% |
100% |
|
1 |
58% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Greens Analyseinstitut
- Commissioner(s): Børsen
- Fieldwork period: 3 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1162
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.45%