Opinion Poll by YouGov, 30 May–3 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
28.2% |
26.3–30.2% |
25.7–30.8% |
25.3–31.3% |
24.4–32.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
19.3% |
17.6–21.1% |
17.2–21.6% |
16.8–22.1% |
16.0–23.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
10.5% |
9.3–12.0% |
8.9–12.4% |
8.6–12.8% |
8.1–13.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
9.5% |
8.3–10.9% |
8.0–11.3% |
7.7–11.6% |
7.1–12.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.8% |
5.8–8.0% |
5.5–8.4% |
5.3–8.7% |
4.8–9.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.5% |
4.3–6.8% |
4.1–7.1% |
3.7–7.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.9% |
3.7–6.2% |
3.6–6.4% |
3.2–7.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.0% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.9–5.5% |
2.5–6.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.9% |
2.6–5.1% |
2.3–5.6% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.2% |
2.1–4.4% |
1.8–4.9% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.2% |
2.1–4.4% |
1.8–4.9% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.3–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.9% |
0.9–3.3% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.0–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
100% |
|
5 |
60% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
28% |
28% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
8% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
34% |
100% |
|
2 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
39% |
39% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
|
1 |
83% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
31% |
100% |
|
1 |
69% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
85% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
15% |
15% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
100% |
|
5 |
60% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
28% |
28% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
24% |
24% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
34% |
100% |
|
2 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
39% |
39% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
|
1 |
83% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
31% |
100% |
|
1 |
69% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige () – Stram Kurs () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 May–3 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 856
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.64%