Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 9–15 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
27.7% |
26.0–29.5% |
25.5–30.1% |
25.1–30.5% |
24.3–31.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
21.9% |
20.3–23.6% |
19.8–24.1% |
19.4–24.5% |
18.7–25.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.5% |
7.5–12.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
8.9% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.6–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.9–11.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
7.8% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.9–10.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.6–8.1% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–9.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.3% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.1% |
Stram Kurs (*) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.1% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.4% |
Nye Borgerlige (*) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.0% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.2% |
0.4–1.4% |
0.4–1.5% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
15% |
100% |
|
5 |
81% |
85% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
31% |
100% |
|
4 |
68% |
69% |
Median |
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
67% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
33% |
33% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
15% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stram Kurs (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
4–6 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
1 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
7% |
100% |
|
5 |
85% |
93% |
Median |
6 |
8% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
15% |
100% |
|
5 |
81% |
85% |
Median |
6 |
4% |
4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
15% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stram Kurs () – Nye Borgerlige () – Klaus Riskær Pedersen (*)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 9–15 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1043
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.09%